Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Stock Performance

BCRX Stock  USD 7.26  0.31  4.46%   
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.7, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is expected to be smaller as well. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals right now shows a risk of 2.85%. Please confirm BioCryst Pharmaceuticals maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if BioCryst Pharmaceuticals will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BioCryst Pharmaceuticals are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.46
Five Day Return
5.68
Year To Date Return
(3.20)
Ten Year Return
252.43
All Time Return
11.69
1
Disposition of 91004 shares by Alane Barnes of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals at 3.22 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
2
Disposition of 21210 shares by Alane Barnes of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals at 7.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
3
BioCryst Valuation After FDA Expands ORLADEYO Access for Young Hereditary Angioedema Patients
12/18/2025
4
Disposition of 11477 shares by Charles Gayer of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals at 7.41 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
5
Disposition of 14142 shares by Charles Gayer of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals at 3.22 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
6
Insider Trading
01/09/2026
7
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals reports prelim 2025 ORLADEYO revenue, provides 2026 guidance
01/12/2026
8
Disposition of 70000 shares by Heggie Theresa of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals at 8.5124 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
9
Disposition of 20000 shares by Jon Stonehouse of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
10
BioCryst Reports Inducement Grants Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635
02/05/2026
11
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Is Up 9.0 percent After Navenibart ALPHA-SOLAR Data And Astria Deal News Has The Bull Case Changed
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow112.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities52.6 M

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  697.00  in BioCryst Pharmaceuticals on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  29.00  from holding BioCryst Pharmaceuticals or generate 4.16% return on investment over 90 days. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is currently generating 0.1087% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.8455% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than BioCryst, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is expected to generate 1.14 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.81 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of volatility.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BioCryst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.26 90 days 7.26 
about 38.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.38 (This BioCryst Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of BioCryst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a beta of 0.7 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BioCryst Pharmaceuticals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has an alpha of 0.0186, implying that it can generate a 0.0186 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BioCryst Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.457.2710.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.5310.8413.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.577.4010.22
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.7221.6724.05
Details

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio 0

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 450.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (88.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 410.45 M.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 417.48 M in cash with (52.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.24.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Is Up 9.0 percent After Navenibart ALPHA-SOLAR Data And Astria Deal News Has The Bull Case Changed

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BioCryst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding206.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments321.1 M

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Growth

BioCryst Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, and BioCryst Pharmaceuticals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BioCryst Stock performance.

About BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Performance

Evaluating BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 212.78  223.42 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.21)(0.22)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets(0.21)(0.22)
Return On Equity 0.17  0.18 

Things to note about BioCryst Pharmaceuticals performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about BioCryst Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 450.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (88.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 410.45 M.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 417.48 M in cash with (52.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.24.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Is Up 9.0 percent After Navenibart ALPHA-SOLAR Data And Astria Deal News Has The Bull Case Changed
Evaluating BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' stock. These opinions can provide insight into BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for BioCryst Stock Analysis

When running BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.